【總監專欄】總體經濟跟加密貨幣市場密不可分,你須知道的國際情勢

#總監專欄 #新專欄連載

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早期的加密貨幣市場是與主流經濟體脫鉤的,所以還蠻常見到因為戰爭的關係國際股市大跌但卻看見比特幣逆勢上漲的情況發生,因為早期的加密貨幣並不是主流市場,所以跟美股的連動關係並不大,隨著全球對加密貨幣的重視逐漸加深,自然連動關係也就越來越密切了,總體經濟的發展趨勢也就開始跟加密貨幣產生正相關了。

讓我們比對一下目前的趨勢,早期比特幣可以逆勢上漲時並沒有太多主流資金進入,屬於一個非主流市場,但目前有非常多的金融機構都開始進場了,例如

灰度基金(Grayscale) 持有比特幣超過63萬枚,微策略 (MicroStrategy)持有比特幣超過 12萬枚,而很多公司也開始將比特幣當作儲備資產,最出名的莫過於馬斯克的特斯拉 Tesla,也有國家投資比特幣例如薩爾瓦多,種種的象限都顯示比特幣慢慢進入主流經濟市場並產生正相關。

目前比特幣進入熊市,這也跟目前的全球經濟狀況互相呼應著,所以在投資加密貨幣上不僅僅要關心區塊鏈的發展,更要密切注意總體經濟的發展趨勢,美國在2020年因為COVID-19執行了量化寬鬆,向市場挹注了7000億美元的資金,來避免因為疫情所造成的經濟衝擊,這也讓市場上的熱錢變多,非常多的熱錢進入了投資市場,所以股市房市等資產都受惠,而加密貨幣也不例外,但熱錢進入市場後產生的副作用之一就是通貨膨脹,美國為了控制通貨膨脹變開始一系列的動作要將市場上的熱錢回收,其中一個很重要的動作就是升息。

大家可以想像,目前加密貨幣已經進入主流經濟體中,投資市場中的資金就是那麼多,如果美國正在想辦法將資金從市場上回收,那麼整體的金融市場下跌是必然的結果,而這也正是目前正在發生的事情,基於這個觀點我們必須時時注意美國的經濟狀況,美國聯準會的貨幣政策會議值得我們注意的,這將會決定升息的幅度跟是否升息。

目前為了控制通貨膨脹也就是物價,為了避免物價持續上漲,美國聯準會繼續將會在2022年進行八次的升息會議來決定升息的幅度,預測會在2022年總共升息13碼,而根據過往升息紀錄,3月升息1碼、5月升息2碼、6月升息3碼,距離13碼還有一大半的路要走,下次的聯準會升息會議會在7月26日、27日舉行,大家可以密切觀察,如果通膨持續惡化那麼升息幅度超過預期,這將會使整體經濟市場進一步下跌,最後提醒一下大家在熊市中沒有永遠的下跌,中間都會有反彈的,所以要小心判斷是否是牛是回歸還是只是反彈而以,而觀察全球整體經濟的長期趨勢將有助你的判斷,可以讓你避免在短暫的市場反應中迷失了方向。

關於BingX

BingX成立於2018年,現已發展成為全球領先的社交交易平台。是全球性數字資產、現貨和衍生品交易平台,提供以用戶為中心的開放式生態系統,具有直觀的社交交易功能,旨在豐富整個加密貨幣行業。憑藉其多樣化的市場和全球用戶社區,BingX高度重視安全且合規的加密資產系統,在BingX運營地區內的國家皆已註冊或獲得當地政府認可和監管的金融服務牌照。

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Celsius已結清其在DeFi借貸協議的所有債務

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Celsius Has Paid Off All of Its Debt to DeFi Lending Protocols

Today’s Cryptocurrency Headline

Celsius Network has paid off all of its debts to DeFi lending protocols. On Wednesday, the firm repaid nearly $50 million of its debt to Compound’s lending protocol across two transactions, thereby removing the last chunk of its remaining on-chain debt. Since June 10, the company has repaid an estimated more than $800 million in debt on Aave, MakerDAO and Compound, according to on-chain records from Celsius-linked wallets. In addition, Celsius Network is moving toward filing for Chapter 11 bankruptcy, CNBC reported late Wednesday.

BingX’s Bitcoin Chart

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The U.S Bureau of Labor Statistics announced that the consumer price index (CPI) jumped 9.1% in June -the largest increase in more than four decades. Bitcoin is up 3.62% over the last 24 hours and rose to an intraday high of $20,417.17. The largest cryptocurrency has experienced large volatility today, it fell to an intraday low of $18,900.00 after the CPI announcement, and it recovered back above the $20,000 level alongside the traditional equity market later. As the global macroeconomics is getting worse and the FED is highly likely to increase the interest rate by 100 basis points on July 27, investors should be preparing for the upcoming volatility.

Disclaimer: BingX does not endorse and is not responsible for or liable for any content, accuracy, quality, advertising, products, or other materials on this page. Readers should do their own research before taking any actions related to the company. BingX is not responsible, directly or indirectly, for any damage or loss caused or alleged to be caused by or in connection with the use of or reliance on any content, goods, or services mentioned in the article.

Celsius已結清其在DeFi借貸協議的所有債務

Celsius Network 已經償還了其對 DeFi 借貸協議的所有債務。週三,Celsius通過兩筆交易向Compound 的借貸協議償還了近5000萬美元的債務,從而消除了其剩餘的鏈上債務的最後一部分。根據與 Celsius 相關的錢包的鏈上記錄,自 6 月 10 日以來,該公司已償還了估計超過 8 億美元的 Aave、MakerDAO 和 Compound 債務。此外,據 CNBC 周三晚間報道,Celsius Network 正在申請第 11 章破產保護。

美國勞工統計局公布,6 月份消費者物價指數 (CPI) 躍升 9.1%,是 40 多年來的最大漲幅。比特幣在過去 24 小時內上漲 3.62%,並升至盤中高點 20,417.17 美元。最大的加密貨幣今天經歷了大幅波動,在 CPI 公布後跌至盤中低點 18,900.00 美元,隨後與傳統股市一起回升至 20,000 美元以上。隨著全球宏觀經濟形勢惡化,美聯儲(聯準會)極有可能在 7 月 27 日加息 100 個基點,投資者應為即將到來的波動做好準備。

關於BingX
BingX成立於2018年,是全球性數字資產、現貨和衍生品交易平台,提供以用戶為中心的開放式生態系統,具有直觀的社交交易功能。BingX旨在豐富整個加密貨幣行業,是安全、可靠、用戶友好的場所,用戶可以在此交易他們最喜愛的資產。

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STEPN 宣佈第二季度利潤和 GMT 回購和銷毀計劃

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STEPN Announces Second-quarter Profit and GMT Buyback and Burn Program

Today’s Cryptocurrency Headline

The Move to Earn app STEPN announced the second-quarter profit and announced the launch of the GMT buyback and burn program. In the second quarter of 2022, STEPN generated a profit of $122.5 million through its platform fees. STEPN will leverage 5% of the profits to initiate a Q2 GMT buyback and burn program. In addition to the buyback and burn program, STEPN will allocate capital reserves to improve upon existing features and build out the team. STEPN said the buyback and burn process could take several weeks to complete to avoid significant price volatility.

BingX’s Bitcoin Chart

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According to Glassnode, the total number of addresses ever created on the Bitcoin network has surpassed the 1 billion mark today. Bitcoin is down -2.12% over the last 24 hours and fell to an intraday low of $19,221.30. The largest cryptocurrency broke below the psychological level of $20,000, suggesting the bears are in control. The Crypto Fear and Greed Index dropped six points to 16, which shows the market is in the “extreme fear” category. For now, the sellers will attempt to sink the BTC/USDT pair to $19,000.

Disclaimer: BingX does not endorse and is not responsible for or liable for any content, accuracy, quality, advertising, products, or other materials on this page. Readers should do their own research before taking any actions related to the company. BingX is not responsible, directly or indirectly, for any damage or loss caused or alleged to be caused by or in connection with the use of or reliance on any content, goods, or services mentioned in the article.

STEPN 宣佈第二季度利潤和 GMT 回購和銷毀計劃

Move to Earn 應用 STEPN 公佈了第二季度的利潤,並宣佈啟動 GMT 回購和銷毀計劃。 2022 年第二季度,STEPN 通過其平臺費用產生了 1.225 億美元的利潤,STEPN 將利用 5% 的利潤啟動 Q2 GMT 回購和銷毀計劃。除了回購和銷毀計劃,STEPN 將分配資本儲備來改進現有功能並建立團隊。 STEPN 表示,為了避免價格大幅波動,回購和銷毀過程可能需要數周時間才能完成。

據 Glassnode 稱,比特幣網路上創建的地址總數今天已超過 10 億大關。比特幣在過去 24 小時內下跌 -2.12%,跌至盤中低點 19,221.30 美元。最大的加密貨幣跌破 20,000 美元的心理水平,表明空頭處於控制之中。加密恐懼與貪婪指數下跌 6 點至 16,這表明市場處於「極度恐懼」類別。目前,賣家將嘗試將 BTC/USDT 貨幣對跌至 19,000 美元。

 

關於BingX
BingX成立於2018年,是全球性數字資產、現貨和衍生品交易平台,提供以用戶為中心的開放式生態系統,具有直觀的社交交易功能。BingX旨在豐富整個加密貨幣行業,是安全、可靠、用戶友好的場所,用戶可以在此交易他們最喜愛的資產。

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ProShares 的比特幣 ETF 日交易量超過 Grayscale 的 GBTC

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ProShares’ Bitcoin ETF Surpassed Grayscale’s GBTC in Daily Volume

Today’s Cryptocurrency Headline

The ProShares Bitcoin Strategy exchange-traded fund (BITO) has surpassed the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC) in daily volume, according to data provided by Bloomberg’s Eric Balchunas. The first U.S. futures-based Bitcoin ETF traded under the ticker BITO has an average daily volume of $170 million. GBTC, the crown jewel of top cryptocurrency fund managers, recorded $137.9 million.

BingX’s Bitcoin Chart

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According to CoinShare, digital asset investment products saw inflows totalling US$15m last week, while total assets under management (AuM) recovered from their year and a half lows to US$36.2bn. Bitcoin is down -1.66% over the last 24 hours and fell to an intraday low of $20,257.49. The largest cryptocurrency turned down from $22,500 on July 8 and closed below the 20-day exponential moving average (EMA) ($21,202) on July 10, suggesting the bears are selling on the rally. The relative strength index (RSI) dropped below the 50 mark, indicating an advantage to the sellers. The bears are likely to pull the price below the psychological level of $20,000 once again, and the bulls must hold the price above this vital level.

Disclaimer: BingX does not endorse and is not responsible for or liable for any content, accuracy, quality, advertising, products, or other materials on this page. Readers should do their own research before taking any actions related to the company. BingX is not responsible, directly or indirectly, for any damage or loss caused or alleged to be caused by or in connection with the use of or reliance on any content, goods, or services mentioned in the article.

ProShares 的比特幣 ETF 日交易量超過 Grayscale 的 GBTC

根據彭博社的 Eric Balchunas 提供的數據,ProShares比特幣策略交易所交易基金(BITO)的每日交易量已超過灰度比特幣信託基金(GBTC)。第一個在股票代碼 BITO 下交易的美國期貨比特幣 ETF 的日均交易量為 1.7 億美元。 GBTC 是頂級加密貨幣基金經理的皇冠上的明珠,錄得 1.379 億美元。

根據 CoinShare 的數據,上周數字資產投資產品的流入總額為 1500 萬美元,而管理的總資產 (AuM) 從一年半的低點回升至 362 億美元。比特幣在過去 24 小時內下跌 -1.66%,跌至盤中低點 20,257.49 美元。

最大的加密貨幣比特幣從 7 月 8 日的 22,500 美元下跌,並在 7 月 10 日收於 20 天指數移動平均線(EMA)(21,202 美元)下方,表明空頭正在反彈中拋售。相對強弱指數 (RSI) 跌破 50 大關,表明對賣家有利。空頭可能會再次將價格拉低至 20,000 美元的心理水平以下,多頭必須將價格保持在這一重要水平之上。

關於BingX
BingX成立於2018年,是全球性數字資產、現貨和衍生品交易平台,提供以用戶為中心的開放式生態系統,具有直觀的社交交易功能。BingX旨在豐富整個加密貨幣行業,是安全、可靠、用戶友好的場所,用戶可以在此交易他們最喜愛的資產。

#BingX #BingTW

 

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Sberbank在其平臺發行了首筆數字資產

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Sberbank Executes First Digital Asset Transaction on Its Blockchain Platform

Today’s Cryptocurrency Headline

Russia’s largest state-owned commercial bank, Sberbank, said on Saturday it had executed the first digital financial asset transaction on its own platform, with its subsidiary SberFactoring executing a 1-billion rouble ($16 million) issue with three-month maturity. Sberbank said in a statement that its platform uses blockchain technology and smart contracts to issue digital assets. The platform will soon be available to all the bank’s corporate clients. In March this year, Sberbank obtained a digital asset issuance and exchange license issued by the Central Bank of Russia.

BingX’s Bitcoin Chart

Source: TradingView& BingX

According to Glassnode, Bitcoin miner balances hit a seven-month low of 1,819,038.702 BTC, which means that the miners have been selling the mined BTC recently. Bitcoin is down -3.75% over the last 24 hours and fell to an intraday low of $20,635.00. The largest cryptocurrency closed below the 20-day exponential moving average (EMA) ($21,160) on Sunday, suggesting the bulls may have lost the upside momentum. The bears are trying to sustain the price below the 20-day EMA ($21,160). If this happens, the BTC/USDT pair could find support for around $20,000. Conversely, if the price breaks above the 20-day EMA ($21,160), the BTC/USDT pair could rally toward the 50-day EMA ($24,274).

Disclaimer: BingX does not endorse and is not responsible for or liable for any content, accuracy, quality, advertising, products, or other materials on this page. Readers should do their own research before taking any actions related to the company. BingX is not responsible, directly or indirectly, for any damage or loss caused or alleged to be caused by or in connection with the use of or reliance on any content, goods, or services mentioned in the article.

Sberbank在其平臺發行了首筆數字資產

俄羅斯最大的國有商業銀行 Sberbank 週六表示,它已在自己的平臺上執行了第一筆數字金融資產交易,其子公司 SberFactoring 執行了 10 億盧布(1600 萬美元)、期限為 3 個月的發行。 Sberbank 在一份聲明中表示,其平臺使用區塊鏈技術和智能合約來發行數字資產。該平臺很快將可供該銀行的所有企業客戶使用。今年 3 月,Sberbank 獲得了俄羅斯中央銀行頒發的數字資產發行和交易所許可證。

據 Glassnode 稱,比特幣礦工餘額觸及 1,819,038.702 BTC 的七個月低點,這意味著礦工最近一直在出售開採的 BTC。比特幣在過去 24 小時內下跌 -3.75%,跌至盤中低點 20,635.00 美元。周日,最大的加密貨幣收於 20 天指數移動平均線(EMA)(21,160 美元)下方,這表明多頭可能已經失去了上行動力。

空頭正試圖將價格維持在 20 天均線(21,160 美元)下方。如果發生這種情況,BTC/USDT 對可能會在 20,000 美元左右找到支撐。相反,如果價格突破 20 日均線(21,160 美元),BTC/USDT 對可能反彈至 50 日均線(24,274 美元)。

關於BingX
BingX成立於2018年,是全球性數字資產、現貨和衍生品交易平台,提供以用戶為中心的開放式生態系統,具有直觀的社交交易功能。BingX旨在豐富整個加密貨幣行業,是安全、可靠、用戶友好的場所,用戶可以在此交易他們最喜愛的資產。

#BingX #BingTW

 

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  1. Luna、Celsius 和三箭資本 (3AC)
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V3.5.0 專業合約跟單上線

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